Oman
The Sultanate of Oman
The available evidence is that piracy, far from being a threat to Somalia, is transforming the economy of Central Somalia. Kenya is also enjoying a property boom, as Somalis invest their ransom money. In the period 2005-2010 property prices in Nairobi increased between two and three-fold.
Far from being isolated from the rest of the world, successful Somali businessmen (including those making money from piracy) are able to freely travel and invest their money abroad. The same air routes also deliver the navigation and communications equipment needed by the growing pirate “companies”.
This may sound counter-intuitive, but in fact we have been feed so much non-reflective analysis by the media, that we actually believe the conclusions. Typical of this is a comment by David Randall in The Independent, “Western security agencies say that Somalia has become a safe haven for militants, including foreign jihadists, who are using it to plot attacks across the impoverished region and beyond. As many have pointed out, the only lasting solution to the problem of piracy on the high seas is a political solution to anarchy on dry land. Until then, the capture of ships and crews will continue.” The more balanced view may be that Somalia is a territory in which a number of groups are violently competing for control of the resources of the country, and that the conflict at a local level is still fundamentally tribal, whereas foreign elements, and those Somalis allied to them, including the agents of states, often express their desire for influence and control by the use of ideological language, including support for and opposition to Islamic extremist philosophies.
A political solution to the many problems of Somalia will not be possible until the inhabitants of the former Italian colony of Somalia decide that they wish to renounce violent conflict, something which Somaliland (the former British colony) has already done. Given the strength of the competing parties, which are variously supported by agents from the United States, Ethiopia, France, Eritrea, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Kenya, in addition to criminal elements from Italy and elsewhere, and individuals espousing “terrorism”, and the current commitment of the United Nations, and other international bodies, to an imposed political solution, it is extremely unlikely that any lasting political solution for Somalia will be forthcoming in the near future.